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 Post subject: saudi arabia next?
PostPosted: Sat May 21, 2011 7:07 pm  
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Querulous Quidnunc
Joined: Thu May 13, 2010 3:18 pm
Posts: 7047
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for the twitter fueled revolutions going on in the middle east right now?

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/ml_saudi_women_driving


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 Post subject: Re: saudi arabia next?
PostPosted: Sat May 21, 2011 7:25 pm  
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Querulous Quidnunc
Joined: Thu May 13, 2010 12:19 pm
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No for many reasons.

First amongst those reasons is that the Saudis are significantly culturally different than other Arabs. They are much more backward, and they are that way because of their culture and not their political system. They have been that way for many centuries. No popular revolution can change what is really a popular sentiment for them: their way of life.

Second, the Saudi government is more stable because it is not a dictatorship but a feudal monarchy with a whole class of princes and well-paid insiders and mercenaries with a strong vested interest in the government's continued success.

Third, because Saudi Arabia still is responsible for an overwhelming proportion of the world's oil supply, and the country also has great latitude in the region. The ramifications of Saudi Arabia destabilizing - unlike loser countries like Syria or economically unimportant countries like Egypt - would be too great to allow. All parties, from France and Russia to the US and Israel to Yemen and Jordan, would do whatever would have to be done to prevent that from happening.

Fourth, Saudi Arabia has no real democratic movement, but Islamic militancy has a strong foothold there, and it is likely that should the monarchy fall, it would be replaced by a radical Islamic theocracy. The US and Israel would never allow that.

This event is...nothing. It won't trigger anything in Saudi Arabia, and most of the citizens simply won't care.


Aestu of Bleeding Hollow...

Nihilism is a copout.
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 Post subject: Re: saudi arabia next?
PostPosted: Sat May 21, 2011 9:06 pm  
Blathering Buffoon
Joined: Wed Aug 18, 2010 7:12 am
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When the protests were initially flaring up across the Middle East there were protests in Saudi Arabia. The same thing you heard from protesters in Egypt you heard from protesters in Saudi Arabia. The royal family responded monetarily (I don't recall exactly what it was) and that soothed the crowds for a while. More lately they've been preparing for a violent reaction if the people flare up.


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 Post subject: Re: saudi arabia next?
PostPosted: Sun May 22, 2011 1:19 am  
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Malodorous Moron
Joined: Mon Jun 14, 2010 12:09 am
Posts: 747
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yeah what Aestu said. The Saudis even have a religious police. They spot women that aren't fully covered within minutes and fix them. Things like that.


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 Post subject: Re: saudi arabia next?
PostPosted: Sun May 22, 2011 6:05 pm  
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Querulous Quidnunc
Joined: Thu Aug 23, 2007 10:39 pm
Posts: 3686
Location: Potomac, MD
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I think they all got a 15% raise in their salaries. I forget where I read that though.


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