Bucket Guild | FUBU BH Forums

I Has a Bucket: Preventing bucket theft on Bleeding Hollow | FUBU: A better BH Forum
It is currently Fri Jul 11, 2025 6:20 pm



Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 149 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10  Next
Author Message
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 8:28 am  
User avatar

Querulous Quidnunc
Joined: Thu May 13, 2010 12:19 pm
Posts: 8116
Offline

Laelia wrote:
How is it specious? It's just basic Bayesian inference.


Because there is at least as much evidence to indicate that people exaggerate the incidence of negative outcomes.


Aestu of Bleeding Hollow...

Nihilism is a copout.
Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 9:33 am  
User avatar

Obama Zombie
Joined: Fri May 14, 2010 1:48 pm
Posts: 3149
Location: NoVA
Offline

Mns wrote:
If this guy is proven to have gotten cues from this website (or if someone else does the same thing)

You mean it hasn't been proven that he killed the people because of Sarah Palin's map or because of something someone at Fox News maybe said? The things you said before you started to back-pedal to some "let's all be friends" position made it sound like the guy left a note saying Sarah Palin sold him the gun.

Don't try to act like you're better than anyone who made those maps or engaged in whatever rhetoric because you've tried your hardest to politicize this tragedy with your own rhetoric.
Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 9:55 am  
User avatar

MegaFaggot 5000
Joined: Mon Aug 27, 2007 11:39 pm
Posts: 4804
Location: Cinci, OH
Offline

Dvergar wrote:
Mns wrote:
If this guy is proven to have gotten cues from this website (or if someone else does the same thing), you can comfort the victim's families by telling them that the person that blew the brains out of their loved one was an idiot.


I don't think he did it because of what Palin said or posted, that doesn't make the kind of overblown exaggerated hate speech acceptable.


This is the point I was trying to make with that statement, btw. Crazy is as crazy does, and if someone takes a metaphor like that map and takes it literally (considering it has iron sights and a list of names, I don't know what other literal meaning it could have) and people end up dead, calling people idiots doesn't help a damn thing.

Quote:
Don't try to act like you're better than anyone who made those maps or engaged in whatever rhetoric because you've tried your hardest to politicize this tragedy with your own rhetoric.

I wasn't aware "let's stop painting bullseyes on people" is a political agenda, but thanks for letting me know.


RETIRED.
[armory loc="US,Bleeding Hollow"]Mayonaise[/armory]
[armory loc="US,Bleeding Hollow"]Jerkonaise[/armory]
Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 11:30 am  
User avatar

Obtuse Oaf
Joined: Sun May 16, 2010 5:46 pm
Posts: 776
Location: Ontario
Offline

Aestu wrote:
Laelia wrote:
How is it specious? It's just basic Bayesian inference.


Because there is at least as much evidence to indicate that people exaggerate the incidence of negative outcomes.


The whole point is that the effect of false negatives is often much smaller than the effect of false positives when dealing with rare events. Using the numbers in my example, with a 0.1% true incidence, 0.5% false positive rate, and 50% false negative rate, our survey would suggest an incidence of ~0.55%. With a false negative rate 100 greater than the false positive rate, we're overestimating the true incidence by 5.5 times. Even if we were missing all of the true positives (100% false negative rate), we would end up with ~0.5% apparent incidence on the survey, 5 times greater than the true incidence. Obviously false negatives are more important when dealing with more common events, but that's not what we were discussing here.


Laelia Komi Anomalocaris
Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 12:57 pm  
User avatar

Obama Zombie
Joined: Fri May 14, 2010 1:48 pm
Posts: 3149
Location: NoVA
Offline

Mns wrote:
Quote:
Don't try to act like you're better than anyone who made those maps or engaged in whatever rhetoric because you've tried your hardest to politicize this tragedy with your own rhetoric.

I wasn't aware "let's stop painting bullseyes on people" is a political agenda, but thanks for letting me know.

Like I said, where was the civility during the previous administration... or any other week leading up to this assassination attempt? You've always been quick to call anyone who opposes your own world view as ignorant, racist, bigotted, xenophobic, etc. You have a hate for the Right, conservatives and Republicans so much so you immediately thought that the gunman was a Tea Partier. I'm sure a few people around this forum have targets on their heads in your mind... What does that say about you, Mayo? Tired tactics are tired.

In addition to what USD, Rath and others have said, you were wrong. (Well, probably.)

The woman you think should share some of the blame while seemingly having nothing to do with this event has a little bit of wisdom you might be capable of learning from - if you can let your pride and ego go for a moment to actually consider what she's saying...

Quote:
President Reagan said, “We must reject the idea that every time a law’s broken, society is guilty rather than the lawbreaker. It is time to restore the American precept that each individual is accountable for his actions.” Acts of monstrous criminality stand on their own. They begin and end with the criminals who commit them, not collectively with all the citizens of a state, not with those who listen to talk radio, not with maps of swing districts used by both sides of the aisle, not with law-abiding citizens who respectfully exercise their First Amendment rights at campaign rallies, not with those who proudly voted in the last election.


Oh, and because you keep asking... here is the 'punish our enemies' line. When you click that link, please read what Jon Stewart says about it at the bottom of the page.[/url]
Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 1:54 pm  
User avatar

Querulous Quidnunc
Joined: Thu May 13, 2010 12:19 pm
Posts: 8116
Offline

Reagan is dead wrong and the proof is that other societies don't have these problems. People like listening to that BS because it makes them feel smug and complacent.


Aestu of Bleeding Hollow...

Nihilism is a copout.
Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject:
PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 1:59 pm  
User avatar

Obama Zombie
Joined: Fri May 14, 2010 1:48 pm
Posts: 3149
Location: NoVA
Offline

Sure, ok.

Edit: What other societies? Are you implying no other society has violent crimes or attempts at political assassinations or violence against political figures? Also, are you saying that if you point a sabre at an individual that society thrust it through their chest and not your arm? (Get it?)
Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: So this Rep woman shooting:
PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 2:56 pm  
User avatar

Twittering Twat
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2010 1:27 pm
Posts: 226
Offline

Problem with Reagan is he ignored the effect poverty and a lack of security has on criminality.

@usd pfft, who reads shit that doesn't support their preconceived conclusion?

Seriously though good interview on npr today with a linguist from berkley:
1. This level of rhetoric is nothing new.
2. Republicans bettet package their communication for sound bites.
3. The message conveyed by both parties is equally vitriolic and appears to be caught in a cycle of one-upsmanship.
4. Americans have a high level of comfort with gun/combat language given our history and the romanticization of periods like the wild west.
5. Nobody thinks palin's map is even casually associated with the shooting.
6. Palin's recent reference to a blood libel displays her ignorance of the significance of the term or her stupidity for using it if she wasn't ignorant.

Seems about right to me.
Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re:
PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 3:01 pm  
User avatar

French Faggot
Joined: Tue Jun 10, 2008 1:15 pm
Posts: 5227
Location: New Jersey
Offline

Laelia wrote:
How is it specious? It's just basic Bayesian inference.


Image


If destruction exists, we must destroy everything.
Shuruppak Yuratuhl
Slaad Shrpk Breizh
Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: So this Rep woman shooting:
PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 5:03 pm  
User avatar

Querulous Quidnunc
Joined: Thu May 13, 2010 3:18 pm
Posts: 7047
Offline

If society says "dont murder people," and you go murdering people, how is society responsible?


A person SHOULD be accountable for their own actions. Every time. If they are incapable due to mental illness etc(cuz i know you fuckers will nitpick) then whoever is responsible for them legally should be held accountable.


Image
Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: So this Rep woman shooting:
PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 6:22 pm  
User avatar

Twittering Twat
Joined: Fri Aug 13, 2010 1:27 pm
Posts: 226
Offline

I don't think anyone is saying criminals shouldn't separated from society our that they shouldn't be compelled to make reparations for the harm they've caused; but we as a society need to be aware of the effects of our policies on criminality and ask ourselves how far we want to go to mitigate the problems our policies encourage.

"It's the law, tough shit" doesn't address the issue, it just allows people to feel morally superior.

In context, if my kid needed a life saving surgery that was denied by our insurer and I exhausted all legal means to get her that surgery, everything from theft, extortion and more violent options become on the table.
Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: So this Rep woman shooting:
PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 6:29 pm  
User avatar

Querulous Quidnunc
Joined: Thu May 13, 2010 3:18 pm
Posts: 7047
Offline

I agree to that sure. Unfortunately, the "John Q's" (thank you denzel) don't really exist it anything even APPROACHING relevant numbers.

There are not nearly as many Robin Hoods as criminals and defense attorneys would have you believe, just like there aren't nearly as many bad apples as Brimstone Priests and Prosecutors would either. But the amount of idiots and/or crazy people is staggering.


Image
Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: So this Rep woman shooting:
PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 8:08 pm  
User avatar

Obama Zombie
Joined: Fri May 14, 2010 1:48 pm
Posts: 3149
Location: NoVA
Offline

Yea, sounds like Fubu. :D Who is the next psychopath!?
Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: So this Rep woman shooting:
PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 8:36 pm  
User avatar

French Faggot
Joined: Tue Jun 10, 2008 1:15 pm
Posts: 5227
Location: New Jersey
Offline

No one wants to date a weird looking bald dude with bulging eyebrow ridges.


If destruction exists, we must destroy everything.
Shuruppak Yuratuhl
Slaad Shrpk Breizh
Top
 Profile  
 
 Post subject: Re: So this Rep woman shooting:
PostPosted: Wed Jan 12, 2011 9:17 pm  
User avatar

Obtuse Oaf
Joined: Sun May 16, 2010 12:38 pm
Posts: 967
Location: Resisting the urge to giggle uncontrollably!
Offline

Eturnalshift wrote:


I've got a guess!

:p

Really though, the whole situation is very sad. His parents are sitting there asking "where they went wrong." Ummmmm.... not taking him to see a psychiatrist or a doctor is where you went wrong.

I also don't get why anyone is still talking about Sarah Palin. It became very clear early on that not only was he NOT a tea party member, but if he did ascribe to a political party he came to it by way of the far left. The media should have shut up about the "connection" and focused more on the people that were killed. I think it is terrible that the congresswoman was shot, but 6 people, including a conservative judge, died. Wasting breath on partisan BS when it has no part in the tragedy and is just a red herring bugs me.


Callysta of Reverence
Top
 Profile  
 
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Post new topic Reply to topic  [ 149 posts ]  Go to page Previous  1 ... 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10  Next

All times are UTC - 5 hours


Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron

World of Warcraft phpBB template "WoWMoonclaw" created by MAËVAH (ex-MOONCLAW) (v3.0.8.0) - wowcr.net : World of Warcraft styles & videos
© World of Warcraft and Blizzard Entertainment are trademarks or registered trademarks of Blizzard Entertainment, Inc. in the U.S. and/or other countries. wowcr.net is in no way associated with Blizzard Entertainment.
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group