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 Post subject: Re: "...vicious, negative, destructive..."
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2012 2:16 pm  
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Querulous Quidnunc
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Eturnalshift wrote:
Aestu wrote:
It's potentially profitable or it isn't. We've proven it's potentially profitable by looking at the underlying science. That's not in dispute.
If it's potentially profitable then it merits investment in the requisite technology and infrastructure.

The realization of potential profits follows investment. You say the investment can't happen because of "yet", "proven", "not profitable", meaning that the so-called investors don't want to put down money on "potential profits", they just want...Free Stuff Now.

Which brings us back to square one. Why invest when you can get Free Stuff Now by exploiting the status quo?

That's not true. Investors and venture capitalists normally play in the high-risk, high-reward field of funding start up enterprise. People have invested in all sorts of industries... "Why would I invest in a car when I have a horse!?" "Why would I invest in a plane when I have a car?" Innovation, technology and advancement aren't always created on the back of the government.

Correct me if I'm wrong, but what Azelma is saying is that there isn't much of a demand for space exploration and travel because of a couple different reasons that have been lost in the shit you two are throwing at each other. Since there isn't a huge demand for this type of service or exploration then there isn't a reason for an investor to sink their money into the prospect as the investor doesn't see the chance of a good profit or return. That doesn't mean there won't be a need or demand for capital and investors further down the road.

Despite all this there is a growing market for being in space. For starters, there are companies like Sea Launch which send satellites into space... and since there is an ever-increasing need for satellites in space, the demand for this service is only going to increase over time (unless we find a way to get away from GPS and other high-speed communication links over great distances). Sea Launch had it's share of investors which helped upstart the multi-national company.

Sea Launch (and the companies like them) are given a market through companies which need satellites in space. Telecommunication, GeoInt services and we, as consumers, have a need for satellites so there is going to be an increased demand. When I went to a conference in Silicon Valley last year I had the opportunity to tour Lockheed Martin's satellite 'factory' and there were plenty in production.

Then there are companies like Virgin and SpaceX (funded largely by their CEOs), as well as others, who are working towards making government-less means to space travel (well, besides needing permits from NASA or whatever other shit the government says they need to do). Who knows where that'll take us next... maybe besides 'space tourism' we'll find an upstart use SpaceX/Virgin to transport engineers to space to repair faulty satellites. Who knows where the future is going to take us.

Interesting bit: Yesterday I was listening to some talk radio show and they were talking about Capital Gains tax, Romney's wealth and how people are mad over it all. A caller said he bought a lot of Apple shares when he first started working... and now he's able to live off the profit of that investment since he was able to take the returns and invest in other things. Maybe someone could find the article copy of when someone in the 80s said the personal computer wouldn't take off...


No one is talking about space tourism (useless). We're talking about space industry, there's definitely a demand for industrial production, it's just that there's no reason for those who have the money to invest in superior industry when they can get profit in the here and now exploiting the status quo.

There's been a market for "being in space" for the better half of a century now. 50 years ago, space colonies and such were on the table, we axed those programs in favor of lower taxes, fiat money and exploitation of existing capital. Since then of course we've still been making use of weather and telecom satelites.

Of course I'm sure you believe that technology exists because of Venture Capital. Right?

The very fact that there are some turkeys like Sea Launch that can't even reliably do what the government did 50 years ago proves just how shitty venture capital is at actually getting anything done. You make it sound as if they're aspiring heroes and not just scammers who build rockets out of cardboard to impress fools like you so you'll support the government giving them Free Stuff Now. Then you whine and bitch about "handouts", except those that are okay because of "profit".

Venture capitalism didn't invent or develop the car, this is just "The Party Invented The Steam Engine" bullshit. Just like in 1984, people with an ideological axe to grind for their own selfish reasons will rewrite history in the image of their brainwashing.

Cars and planes were developed by loner nerds. That was practical because back in the world of 1900 (also see: Inside The Brain of Ron Paul) technology was very low capital and new technology faced no organized opposition. Designing and building the Flyer One or Model T cost as much as building the Apollo craft or a power plant, and the horse and zeppelin lobby didn't subvert early cars and planes because they weren't organized or influential.

Back to square one: Libertarianism is a philosophy of ignorance, and argued on the basis that conditions today are the same as they were in the 19th century.


Aestu of Bleeding Hollow...

Nihilism is a copout.
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 Post subject: Re: "...vicious, negative, destructive..."
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2012 2:23 pm  
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Querulous Quidnunc
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Using the actual economic meanings of terms like "technology", "business models", "supply", and "risk" doesn't work in the context you're using them, because all those terms imply investment and elasticity.

The proof my interpretation of what you are saying is correct is that the only definition of the economic terms you use that makes your statements cogent is "Free Stuff Now".

Azelma wrote:
I don't see how it's "I want free stuff now" - is it free if you have to invest millions and wait years to get any sort of return on it? "Potentially profitable" alone isn't enough. Even if it's a proven money maker, it still takes time to generate the returns...or grow a business to the point where it's ready for an IPO.

I'll simplify it for you:

It's not "I want free stuff now" it's "I want to be fairly confident that I can get a return on this investment." It's "Yes, there is potential profit here...but right now the risks are simply too great to make it worth dumping that kind of capital into such a venture...even if I'm a huge risk taker"

"Risk" versus "Reward" is Investing 101

Yes, the profits are potentially there...we both agree on this. But at this point, with the current technology available, it's just too risky for even the riskiest investor to throw millions and millions at a project that will take an unclear amount of time and money to research and develop the technologies required to generate cash/get any sort of return.

Once technology is improved, and more viable business models are discovered, then the risk will lower (it will still always be there, obviously) to the point where investors are comfortable forking over their cash for the potential of serious returns.

EDIT:

Eturnalshift wrote:
Correct me if I'm wrong, but what Azelma is saying is that there isn't much of a demand for space exploration and travel because of a couple different reasons that have been lost in the shit you two are throwing at each other. Since there isn't a huge demand for this type of service or exploration then there isn't a reason for an investor to sink their money into the prospect as the investor doesn't see the chance of a good profit or return. That doesn't mean there won't be a need or demand for capital and investors further down the road.


That's pretty much what I'm saying, but it's not limited to just the existence of demand (clearly there's demand for travel and energy services). It's a function of the supply not even being able to meet demand, or only being able to do so at a cost that is simply too high . If you could generate an ASS TON of energy from space exploration, then it would be much more viable. At this point though, you could probably spend millions upon millions of dollars to explore shit looking for awesome energized space rocks and never find anything.

Or you could spend millions upon millions to send some satellites into space with idk...solar panels (ik they've done this)....but the energy received would still pale in comparison to the energy created by traditional, non-renewable and nuclear sources. Therefore you'd have to charge way more for this energy and no one would buy it.


You're trying to make a nonsensical argument sound rational through sheer verbiage.

The bolded portion is all that really matters. The fact is, private industry isn't willing to invest because they prefer to exploit.

There is no "risk". Science tells us it can be done and that once the infrastructure is constructed it will be a giant money printing machine. You're using "risk" not in the legitimate economic sense, but instead to mean "I Want Free Stuff Now".

Quote:
That's pretty much what I'm saying, but it's not limited to just the existence of demand (clearly there's demand for travel and energy services). It's a function of the supply not even being able to meet demand, or only being able to do so at a cost that is simply too high .


Supply is not inelastic.

When you say "supply", you're not really talking about "supply" in actual economic terms, what you really mean is, "Exploit for Free Stuff Now".

Quote:
Once technology is improved, and more viable business models are discovered,


FREE

STUFF

NOW


Aestu of Bleeding Hollow...

Nihilism is a copout.


Last edited by Aestu on Fri Jan 27, 2012 2:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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 Post subject: Re: "...vicious, negative, destructive..."
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2012 2:28 pm  
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Querulous Quidnunc
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Pump your breaks, Aestu.

Venture Capital may not be the end all be all of finding new technologies or researching new industries, but it is huge when it comes to job creation and small business ownership, which can eventually lead to large corporations employing thousands upon thousands of people.

Case and point: What happened to Facebook?

Mark Zuckerberg and his buddies started it in their dorm rooms. They had a little money to get it off the ground (Edward Saverin gave $5,000 I believe) and support their servers...but they needed more....MUCH more to get it to the next level.

When Zuckerberg moved out to California and set up Facebooks' offices there and got an ass ton of capital investment from venture capitalists, facebook was able to spread like wildfire by having the cash to support it's ever-expanding userbase. Now how many people does facebook employ? How huge will its IPO be? How much Tax Revenue is the US Government getting because of Facebooks' existence?


Azelma

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 Post subject: Re: "...vicious, negative, destructive..."
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2012 2:37 pm  
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Querulous Quidnunc
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Azelma wrote:
Pump your breaks, Aestu.

Venture Capital may not be the end all be all of finding new technologies or researching new industries, but it is huge when it comes to job creation and small business ownership, which can eventually lead to large corporations employing thousands upon thousands of people.

Case and point: What happened to Facebook?

Mark Zuckerberg and his buddies started it in their dorm rooms. They had a little money to get it off the ground (Edward Saverin gave $5,000 I believe) and support their servers...but they needed more....MUCH more to get it to the next level.

When Zuckerberg moved out to California and set up Facebooks' offices there and got an ass ton of capital investment from venture capitalists, facebook was able to spread like wildfire by having the cash to support it's ever-expanding userbase. Now how many people does facebook employ? How huge will its IPO be? How much Tax Revenue is the US Government getting because of Facebooks' existence?


And how many people does Facebook employ? How much taxes does it pay?

A few hundred people...a few million dollars? Hell, I'd be amazed if Facebook even covers its associated costs of law enforcement and corporate litigation (which is hosted at taxpayer expense). The model that created Facebook is not viable for establishing an entire prosperous economy.

Facebook exists because of research and infrastructure that were done at taxpayer expense. Again, this is the "I Got Mine" argument.

Again: libertarianism is a philosophy of ignorance. You believe something that doesn't make sense because your entire world view is driven by reading mainstream American media. Fat cats and useful idiots unite.


Aestu of Bleeding Hollow...

Nihilism is a copout.
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 Post subject: Re: "...vicious, negative, destructive..."
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2012 2:52 pm  
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Querulous Quidnunc
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Aestu wrote:
And how many people does Facebook employ? How much taxes does it pay?

A few hundred people...a few million dollars? Hell, I'd be amazed if Facebook even covers its associated costs of law enforcement and corporate litigation (which is hosted at taxpayer expense).

Facebook exists because of research and infrastructure that were done at taxpayer expense. Again, this is the "I Got Mine" argument.

Again: libertarianism is a philosophy of ignorance. You believe something that doesn't make sense because your entire world view is driven by reading mainstream American media. Fat cats and useful idiots unite.


Aestu, Aestu, Aestu......

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Facebook

Facebook employs over 3000 people. Of those 3000+ employees, I'm fairly positive that almost all of them pay federal income tax and some might not have jobs or be paying taxes if facebook did not exist.

Their revenue is estimated at $4.27 billion dollars. Now, I don't know their expenses or profit margin since they aren't public, but they've been estimated to make as much as $1 billion in profits ( http://www.businessweek.com/technology/ ... 998330.htm ), which would suggest expenses of $3.27 billion. So this leaves $1 billion at a 35% corporate tax rate (second highest in the world), so $350 million in taxes. Now I know these numbers are probably skewed due to media bias, but the point is your "a few hundred people" and "a few million dollars" assertion is absolutely absurd.

We're not even considering the sales taxes Facebook pays on the equipment they buy to run their servers, or what their owners pay in taxes, or what all their employees pay in taxes, what they pay in unemployment taxes, and so on. And your corporate litigation argument? Isn't facebook hiring attorneys and paying them large amounts for their representation? Don't those law firms get taxed? Don't those attorneys get taxed? Doesn't Mark Zuckerberg have a large team of accountants and lawyers at his disposal? Don't they all get paid, and taxed on that payment?

Seriously, get out of here with your irrational hatred of the private sector, you're just sounding retarded now.


Azelma

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Last edited by Azelma on Fri Jan 27, 2012 3:07 pm, edited 6 times in total.
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 Post subject: Re: "...vicious, negative, destructive..."
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2012 2:53 pm  
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Obama Zombie
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Aestu wrote:
There's been a market for "being in space" for the better half of a century now. 50 years ago, space colonies and such were on the table, we axed those programs in favor of lower taxes, fiat money and exploitation of existing capital. Since then of course we've still been making use of weather and telecom satelites.

What was the market back in the 60s?

Aestu wrote:
The very fact that there are some turkeys like Sea Launch that can't even reliably do what the government did 50 years ago proves just how shitty venture capital is at actually getting anything done. You make it sound as if they're aspiring heroes and not just scammers who build rockets out of cardboard to impress fools like you so you'll support the government giving them Free Stuff Now.

Can't reliably do what? Sea Launch does a pretty good job at sending rockets into space without the need of the government so how this turns into the government giving them "free stuff now" is beyond me.

Aestu wrote:
Then you whine and bitch about "handouts", except those that are okay because of "profit".

When you see me bitching about handouts it's because the tax payers are just dishing money to a cause with no return. Welfare and Food Stamps have what return... oh, people don't have to work as hard to provide for themselves? Remember I'm one of the few that think people who are given handouts by the government should be forced to give some form of public service in return - AKA, Work for Pay. Hell, I think I've even ranted about government contracts (Cost + Fixed Fee and Materials or Fixed Fee + Effort) here before and how the government will award contracts with up-front pay and often times never get a product. That's why I think FFP contracts are better because they're harder to milk and the contractor has a greater incentive to complete the project in a timely manner; no product, no pay.

Aestu wrote:
Cars and planes were developed by loner nerds. That was practical because back in the world of 1900 (also see: Inside The Brain of Ron Paul) technology was very low capital and new technology faced no organized opposition. Designing and building the Flyer One or Model T cost as much as building the Apollo craft or a power plant, and the horse and zeppelin lobby didn't subvert early cars and planes because they weren't organized or influential.

Those loner nerds left a greater mark on history than you ever will... and it looks like our next generation of loner nerds will do the same, as Google is holding a private moon-landing competition for privately-funded teams to send objects to the moon and back. I guess what you're saying is Rupert Murdoch's super secret ninja lobby is going to somehow thwart Google's competition and stop independent companies from heading into space or to the moon.

Aestu wrote:
Back to square one: Libertarianism is a philosophy of ignorance, and argued on the basis that conditions today are the same as they were in the 19th century.

I think we're all well aware that conditions aren't the same as they were in the 1800s... that's why you're crying over people actually funding space travel without the need of the government.

PS: NASA doesn't send people to space any more. GG, Government.

Aestu wrote:
Facebook exists because of research and infrastructure that were done at taxpayer expense.

The internet exists because of research that was done by people like Thomas Edison and Alexander Graham Bell, as they helped create the infrastructure and technologies that ARPANET was predicated on. Edison and Bell didn't do it because the government said to or paid them, either.
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 Post subject: Re: "...vicious, negative, destructive..."
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2012 3:06 pm  
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Querulous Quidnunc
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Azelma wrote:
Aestu wrote:
And how many people does Facebook employ? How much taxes does it pay?

A few hundred people...a few million dollars? Hell, I'd be amazed if Facebook even covers its associated costs of law enforcement and corporate litigation (which is hosted at taxpayer expense).

Facebook exists because of research and infrastructure that were done at taxpayer expense. Again, this is the "I Got Mine" argument.

Again: libertarianism is a philosophy of ignorance. You believe something that doesn't make sense because your entire world view is driven by reading mainstream American media. Fat cats and useful idiots unite.


Aestu, Aestu, Aestu......

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Facebook

Facebook employs over 3000 people. Of those 3000+ employees, I'm fairly positive that almost all of them pay federal income tax and might not have jobs or be paying taxes if facebook did not exist.

Their revenue is estimated at $4.27 billion dollars. Now, I don't know their expenses or profit margin since they aren't public, but they've been estimated to make as much as $1 billion in profits, which would suggest expenses of $3.27 billion. So this leaves $1 billion at a 35% corporate tax rate, so $350 million in taxes. Now I know these numbers are probably skewed due to my own internal bias, but the point is your "a few hundred people" and "a few million dollars" is absolutely absurd.

We're not even considering the sales taxes Facebook pays on the equipment they buy to run their servers, or what their owners pay in taxes, or what all their employees pay in taxes, what they pay in unemployment taxes, and so on.


Quote:
Aestu, Aestu, Aestu......


You're trying to sound "magisterial" as a way of compensating for your own willful ignorance.

Quote:
As of April 2011, Facebook has over 2,000 employees, and offices in 15 countries


lol. So how many are American and how many are Indian/Chinese/etc?

Quote:
Now, I don't know their expenses or profit margin since they aren't public...


Hmm. Why? Well, let's have a look:

Quote:
Most of Facebook's revenue comes from advertising...

Facebook generally has a lower clickthrough rate (CTR) for advertisements than most major Web sites.


You should know (but, as a finance major, apparently don't) that revenue =/= cash flow. Advertising based revenue schemes are always really hokey because a lot of that so-called "revenue" isn't cash, it's "goodwill" and various non-cash considerations (leading to bizarre situations with site advertising yielding revenue in the form of advertisements on other sites, and the only cash flowing in is from banks and investors). This is one of the reasons I firmly believe this revenue model should be outlawed.

Also see: Dot Bombs

Quote:
So this leaves $1 billion at a 35% corporate tax rate, so $350 million in taxes.


Assuming they actually turn a profit at all.

Absolutely no one pays base tax rate. This is why the "we have the highest corporate tax rate" bit is bullshit (closely link to why "American corporations donate more than any others" is also bullshit).

So yes, the actual employment figure is "a few hundred" and the real tax rate is "a few million". Even if it were, say, $200m, consider the costs of infrastructure...of law enforcement...also consider how much it costs to host courts for their financial and organizational disputes. Over 50 states and abroad. Assuming your figures, which are generous and strictly hypothetical, are correct, you're talking about a very marginal sum of...a few million dollars.

Quote:
Seriously, get out of here with your irrational hatred of the private sector.


I only hate the private sector because of fat cats and useful idiots who equate the free market with Free Stuff Now. I appreciate the power of private industry, I simply see it as a means and not an end and believe it should be subservient to the political system.

The better question is - why are you championing it based on a very small and flawed example blown out of all proportion by the very media that you believe is biased against your position?


Aestu of Bleeding Hollow...

Nihilism is a copout.
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 Post subject: Re: "...vicious, negative, destructive..."
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2012 3:12 pm  
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I wasn't a finance major...but really revenue =/= cash flow? NO WAY. I HAD NO IDEA. I RUN THE BOOKS FOR A COMPANY AND DID NOT KNOW THAT. Wait wait...are you going to tell me that there's a difference between accrual basis and cash basis accounting?

So we should outlaw advertising revenue because companies don't receive the cash instantly?

Get out of here.

You have exposed yourself as a complete moron when it comes to business. I'm done with you. Keep thinking your precious government should be able to handicap the private sector, hampering job creation and over-regulating industries to stamp out innovation.

I believe both have their place and importance. You want to go to law school, right? What are you going to do when you graduate? Open up your own private practice or try to work for a huge firm? I hope you do, maybe then you'll get a clue about how taxes work and how the private sector keeps the public sector moving.

Again, where does the tax revenue come from Aestu? Where?


Azelma

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 Post subject: Re: "...vicious, negative, destructive..."
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2012 3:39 pm  
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French Faggot
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Dvergar wrote:
Quote:
You guys will never know how megatrolling works, apparently.


Psh, what do you know about megatrolling? Nothing you've done compares to my time as Vezir.


I don't know if everyone's been intentionally ignoring this or not, but if true, /tiphat.


If destruction exists, we must destroy everything.
Shuruppak Yuratuhl
Slaad Shrpk Breizh
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 Post subject: Re: "...vicious, negative, destructive..."
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2012 3:41 pm  
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Querulous Quidnunc
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Azelma wrote:
I wasn't a finance major...but really revenue =/= cash flow? NO WAY. I HAD NO IDEA. I RUN THE BOOKS FOR A COMPANY AND DID NOT KNOW THAT. Wait wait...are you going to tell me that there's a difference between accrual basis and cash basis accounting?


Obviously not, because it didn't occur to you to interpret the data as such.

Azelma wrote:
So we should outlaw advertising revenue because companies don't receive the cash instantly?

Get out of here.


No, we should outlaw it because they often don't receive it at all. And this creates other serious problems. Like speculation bubbles and an incentive to be party to intellectual property theft.

Azelma wrote:
You have exposed yourself as a complete moron when it comes to business. I'm done with you.


Do I not understand that supply is, in fact, elastic?
Do I not understand the definition of "risk" as it pertains to investment?
Do I not understand the difference between revenue and cash flow as it pertains to the advert-based revenue model?

Who doesn't understand business, Azelma? What is it that I don't "understand"?

Azelma wrote:
Keep thinking your precious government should be able to handicap the private sector, hampering job creation and over-regulating industries to stamp out innovation.


Can you give an example of this?

Again: you're talking in VAGUE GENERALIZATIONS DIVORCED FROM REAL EVENTS because your viewpoint is simply ignorant.

Azelma wrote:
I believe both have their place and importance. You want to go to law school, right? What are you going to do when you graduate? Open up your own private practice or try to work for a huge firm? I hope you do, maybe then you'll get a clue about how taxes work and how the private sector keeps the public sector moving.


Except it's not. Because they've been doing nothing for the last fifty years but draining it dry by demanding more while paying less, capitalizing on existing infrastructure while refusing it pay it forward.

Quote:
Again, where does the tax revenue come from Aestu? Where?


Image

I don't know. You tell me.


Aestu of Bleeding Hollow...

Nihilism is a copout.
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 Post subject: Re: "...vicious, negative, destructive..."
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2012 3:50 pm  
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Querulous Quidnunc
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And where do a majority of individuals earn their income? Who is employing/paying them?

Hint: It's those evil businesses you hate so much


Azelma

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 Post subject: Re: "...vicious, negative, destructive..."
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2012 3:54 pm  
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Obama Zombie
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But Azelma, how are the businesses going to sell products and services, and have a need to employ people, when Aestu outlaws advertising? lolololololololololol
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 Post subject: Re: "...vicious, negative, destructive..."
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2012 3:54 pm  
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Azelma wrote:
And where do a majority of individuals earn their income? Who is employing/paying them?

Hint: It's those evil businesses you hate so much


Communist argument detected


Aestu of Bleeding Hollow...

Nihilism is a copout.
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 Post subject: Re: "...vicious, negative, destructive..."
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2012 3:58 pm  
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Querulous Quidnunc
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You were definitely on my list of probable vezirs. Well played sir.


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 Post subject: Re: "...vicious, negative, destructive..."
PostPosted: Fri Jan 27, 2012 4:01 pm  
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Everything belongs to the Communist Party.
Therefore, if you have anything, it's because the Communist Party let you have it.
Therefore, the Communist Party is good, because it let you have stuff.
Therefore, the Communist Party deserves to have everything, because it is good.


Aestu of Bleeding Hollow...

Nihilism is a copout.
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