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 Post subject: Re: so the debate
PostPosted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 2:14 pm  
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Querulous Quidnunc
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Eturnalshift wrote:
Azelma wrote:
Eturnalshift wrote:
Azelma wrote:
Do you agree with Ryan that we should go charging into wars with Syria or Iran if they don't listen to us?

It's hard to take you seriously when you say shit like this, because I heard him explicitly say the opposite of this, "Nobody is proposing to send [American] troops to Syria."

Yes, he is not proposing we send troops to Syria or Iran.

So, you were misrepresenting his words when you said he wanted to charge into wars?


Notice the part I underlined and bolded in my statement. He did talk about using force if necessary and did say that diplomacy is weak (or at least the diplomacy this administration has done). He talked very, very tough - which leads me to believe the Romney/Ryan ticket (coupled with their desire to increase military spending), would be a lot more likely to engage in conflicts with Iran/Syria and would weaken our relations with our allies which have been repaired since the Bush years.

Do you disagree?


Eturnalshift wrote:
Azelma wrote:
You are aware that this is exactly what the republicans are doing as well. Do you remember the 2004 election?

If your example of the Republicans currently using a tactic refers to a campaign eight years ago, I think you're doing it wrong. Perhaps you can pull something from this election cycle instead. :P


Ha, fair point. Here you go:

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/ ... GX20121008

Quote:
Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney delivered a sweeping critique on Monday of President Barack Obama's handling of threats in the Middle East, saying Obama's lack of leadership had made the volatile region more dangerous.


If you don't have any fresh ideas, use stale tactics to scare voters, eh? :)


Azelma

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 Post subject: Re: so the debate
PostPosted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 2:59 pm  
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Azelma wrote:
Eturnalshift wrote:
Azelma wrote:
Eturnalshift wrote:
Azelma wrote:
Do you agree with Ryan that we should go charging into wars with Syria or Iran if they don't listen to us?

It's hard to take you seriously when you say shit like this, because I heard him explicitly say the opposite of this, "Nobody is proposing to send [American] troops to Syria."

Yes, he is not proposing we send troops to Syria or Iran.

So, you were misrepresenting his words when you said he wanted to charge into wars?


Notice the part I underlined and bolded in my statement. He did talk about using force if necessary and did say that diplomacy is weak (or at least the diplomacy this administration has done). He talked very, very tough - which leads me to believe the Romney/Ryan ticket (coupled with their desire to increase military spending), would be a lot more likely to engage in conflicts with Iran/Syria and would weaken our relations with our allies which have been repaired since the Bush years.

Do you disagree?

Absolute disagree. I just re-skimmed the last bit of the transcript from the discussion of the 2014 Afghan timeline to the bit about discussing faith, and I only saw a reference to putting troops on the ground if it was "within the national security interests of the American people." But you can't assume that having a tough talk and tough position is immediately a call for war. Sometimes, tough talk is enough to deter an enemy. Sometimes it isn't.

Also, I didn't think Romney was proposing increasing defense spending. He's proposing we set defense spending to a 4% floor.
A 4% floor on our current $15.09T GDP is $604B. Our current FY2012 budget in execution is about $713B for operations (4.7% GDP), and $902B (5.9% GDP) with veteran care, foreign aid, economic aid, etc. The sequestration budget cuts, which are about $500B over the next decade, will be about $50B/yr... or, if applied to this current fiscal year, not enough to drop below the 4% floor. The problem, I think, is a lot of people misunderstand Romney's position. He's not advocating for a 4% increase on top of the current budget, but he's saying we shouldn't reduce the spending for military below 4% GDP. His plan to expand our military infrastructure could simply be through re-appropriating funding from one program to another, and that could be done without increasing the budget at all.

As for the idea about weaking our relationships with our allies... let's look at where we are.
* Mexico is currently the nearest national security concern, as their violence is spilling over to our borders. Our government knowingly let a large number of assault rifles walk into the Mexican cartels hands, creating more of an issue for the Mexican government who has been trying to combat drug problems in the country.
* Pakistan is extremely pissed at us for hitting their nationals with drone strikes, as well as violating their sovereignty by conducting the late night raid to take out Osama bin Laden. I'm not saying that was the wrong move, but I'm simply pointing out how it's strained the relationship.
* Israel and this Administration have been having a widening rift, since this administration hasn't been supportive of our ally. We don't need to charge into war with them, but we don't need to remain silent when another country is threatening to wipe our ally off the face of the Earth.
* This administration, more or less, sold out eastern Europe on the proposed missile defense shield.

I really don't want to get into the details of our waning support from some EU countries, either, since those matters appear to be more economic in nature, and less over foreign policy.

Heading home. Fishing trip this weekend.

Play nice.
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 Post subject: Re: so the debate
PostPosted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 4:01 pm  
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Querulous Quidnunc
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Common theme is...right-wing military welfare types don't care about America or about the ballooning national debt. All they care about is:

1. continuing to get welfare from the government
2. refusing to pay taxes on even that welfare to keep spending to a sustainable level
3. public figures engaging in the childish theatrics that flatter their bigoted ignorance and make them feel like their country is on top of the world and not an impoverished and irrelevant mess
4. being spiteful towards Americans who are genuinely interested in serving their country and making a better future for everyone, necessarily challenging the entitlements and ignorance of the American right

Eturnalshift wrote:
Absolute disagree. I just re-skimmed the last bit of the transcript from the discussion of the 2014 Afghan timeline to the bit about discussing faith, and I only saw a reference to putting troops on the ground if it was "within the national security interests of the American people."


Since this could never be the case, it is clear he intends to do it no matter what and find any excuse towards that end...just like Bush.

Eturnalshift wrote:
But you can't assume that having a tough talk and tough position is immediately a call for war. Sometimes, tough talk is enough to deter an enemy. Sometimes it isn't.


"...if a Republican does it."

Tough talk is never good. It raises tensions and destroys credibility. It only sounds good to ignorant right-wing people who have an intense need for their thuggish mentality to be reflected in national policy.

Eturnalshift wrote:
Also, I didn't think Romney was proposing increasing defense spending. He's proposing we set defense spending to a 4% floor.
A 4% floor on our current $15.09T GDP is $604B. Our current FY2012 budget in execution is about $713B for operations (4.7% GDP), and $902B (5.9% GDP) with veteran care, foreign aid, economic aid, etc. The sequestration budget cuts, which are about $500B over the next decade, will be about $50B/yr... or, if applied to this current fiscal year, not enough to drop below the 4% floor. The problem, I think, is a lot of people misunderstand Romney's position. He's not advocating for a 4% increase on top of the current budget, but he's saying we shouldn't reduce the spending for military below 4% GDP.


You talk about "4% GDP" because a single-digit percentage sounds better than "a third of the national budget, and more than the rest of the world's spending combined".

In reality what it amounts to is the military stealing thousands of dollars a year from each and every American and blowing it on welfare.

You bitch about the government taking your "hard-earned money" but like every right-wing type you seem pretty okay with it when that extortion benefits you personally.

Eturnalshift wrote:
His plan to expand our military infrastructure could simply be through re-appropriating funding from one program to another, and that could be done without increasing the budget at all.


Let's just say it like it is. You want to pretend that you can get stuff for free.

You want to have military pork barrel for you and your family, so you never have to get real jobs, while pretending it isn't strangling the country to death. And not having to pay the same taxes that everyone else would to support the pork barrel you benefit from.

Eturnalshift wrote:
As for the idea about weaking our relationships with our allies... let's look at where we are.
* Mexico is currently the nearest national security concern, as their violence is spilling over to our borders. Our government knowingly let a large number of assault rifles walk into the Mexican cartels hands, creating more of an issue for the Mexican government who has been trying to combat drug problems in the country.


As long as it is legal to buy guns in America, and as long as America refuses to deal with social problems that create an insatiable demand for drugs, this will be the case.

Eturnalshift wrote:
* Israel and this Administration have been having a widening rift, since this administration hasn't been supportive of our ally. We don't need to charge into war with them, but we don't need to remain silent when another country is threatening to wipe our ally off the face of the Earth.


Israel is not our ally. They spy on us, they steal our technology, when we invaded Iraq for their benefit they refused to loan us troops or bases (instead we must route air traffic through Turkey and Poland, which costs us billions a year on fuel).

The Israelis have spent the last 40 years stubbornly refusing to leverage their military superiority into peace, instead preferring to bully other countries in the region and tyrannize the Palestinians. When Rabin and Sharon started to make peace they were killed by their own people.

The Israelis have dug their own grave. Let them lie down in it. If they're to survive - in peace - it will only be by the US removing the option to rely on war to get by.

Fwiw, we send the Israelis billions a year. For someone who talks so much about waste and handouts, strange you make an exception for them.

Eturnalshift wrote:
* This administration, more or less, sold out eastern Europe on the proposed missile defense shield.


The shield is pure pork barrel and will never work anyway. Not that it would ever need to; that's the point, after all. And even if did work, why build it in Eastern Europe?

So far from caring about the national debt, you're complaining that Obama cut a worthless program that did nothing for Americans.

Who is it that can't watch their spending, Obama or the GOP?

Eturnalshift wrote:
I really don't want to get into the details of our waning support from some EU countries, either, since those matters appear to be more economic in nature, and less over foreign policy.


You're a fool.

You don't want to get into the details because you don't know what they are, but you know enough to know that the entire dispute is stupid but rather than say that you try to make it sound reasonable by doing what all ignorant right-wing military types do which is speaking in the broadest generalizations possible.

The EU doesn't spy on us like Israel. They aren't manipulating their currency to adversely affect us like China. They don't have absurd trade barriers like Japan. They don't support tyranny like Russia. They don't support terrorism like Saudi Arabia. They aren't making their problems our problems like Mexico. And they don't throw fits when they don't get their way like we do.

For over half a century, the EU has stood by us through thick and thin. Have they always seen things our way or done what we would prefer? No, but if you insist your friends do that, you won't have any friends for long.

The EU's friends and enemies are the same as ours. They have as much reason to fear militant Islamists, China and Russia as we do. The EU, unlike the US, has learned the hard way - the very hard way - the costs of war and militarism. Don't mistake wisdom for cowardice. There's no better friend for the "bad cop" to have than a "good cop" and that's the EU.

Like it or not, the EU is our closest ally and will continue to be into the foreseeable future.
Alienate the EU and the US is all alone in a very scary and dangerous world.

The only reasons to lose sight of this are:
1. Insecurity at perceived European cultural superiority
2. Fear and distrust of the EU's social system
3. All of the above due to tuning into Fox News, which attempts to use appeals to bigotry to redirect American anger at the flaws in our society and at China, towards people who happen to be different from us, in an effort to protect the monied interests which support the status quo


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 Post subject: Re: so the debate
PostPosted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 5:08 pm  
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Mexico's drug problems are our problems because we are one of the largest importers of their product.

If those were the Mexican problems to which you were referring.


And yes I think the trade routes should be protected, no I don't trust any other military to do it, and yes piracy is a problem, which would only get bigger if there were no US Naval presence. Which is why I think the Navy should eat the fewest of the cuts, CUTS WHICH I STILL SUPPORT.


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 Post subject: Re: so the debate
PostPosted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 5:17 pm  
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Querulous Quidnunc
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Ok.

Why are we the largest importer of drugs?
Why is there a piracy epidemic?


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 Post subject: Re: so the debate
PostPosted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 5:28 pm  
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Querulous Quidnunc
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well you fix those two problems and then we'll cut the navy and open the borders ok? get on it.


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 Post subject: Re: so the debate
PostPosted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 6:00 pm  
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Yeah I don't know where this whole "amg we must save isreal from 0 threat" thing came from. In what way are they our ally exactly? All I see is mooching and BAWWWWW HOLOCAUST BAWWWWWWW.

inb4 you're a terrorist/you're a muslim/biased/etc, because even if it was some other mooching country that didn't do shit for the US but only took from us, AND HAPPENED TO BE AN ARAB NATION, I would still ask the same question. Also, if this is the only thing you can address while trying to refute/ignore my question, you are officially not qualified enough to argue with me.


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 Post subject: Re: so the debate
PostPosted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 6:02 pm  
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The third step to fixing a problem is to understand the problem. Fundamental to the nature of the problem is the reason it exists. If you don't know that then you have no way of knowing if what you are doing is effective or simply making the problem worse.

So again.

Why do you think we buy most of the world's drugs?
And why do you think is there a piracy epidemic?

You can also say you have "nfi".


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 Post subject: Re: so the debate
PostPosted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 8:52 pm  
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Fantastique wrote:
In what way are they our ally exactly?

I think its mostly because they're the only one we're on pretty good terms with in the region, besides maybe Saudi Arabia and Turkey (are they still shelling Syria, btw?).

I wouldn't be surprised if Israel picks a fight with Iran and we start WWIII.

EDIT: I can see Obama at least trying to smooth things over or try and stay out of it. The only thing I see Mittens doing is throwing us head-first into a conflict that absolutely nobody will want to be a part of. Bonus points if he starts the draft up, because I think the shit will officially hit the fan at that point.


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 Post subject: Re: so the debate
PostPosted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 9:05 pm  
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I doubt we'd have to get involved if Israel did anything to Iran. They've already more than proven they're capable of doling out the harshness with nothing more from us than the military equipment we sell them. I don't think a lot of their neighbors would be hellbent on throwing in with Iran for payback, either, and most would probably be relieved if Israel blew the hell out of any potential Iranian weapons programs. The worst that will come of it is France and Germany getting their underoos in a twist, which will probably only happen because they have companies breaking embargoes to sell shit like they did in Iraq prior to the Iraq invasion.

On top of that, it's not like you can trust President Obama to avoid getting involved in new conflicts *cough*cough* Libya *cough*cough*.

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 Post subject: Re: so the debate
PostPosted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 9:08 pm  
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War with Iran would be so dramatic in its consequences that it is almost unthinkable.

Iraq, Korea and Vietnam were bad. Iran is stronger than all three of those opponents were relative to the US in their own time, in combination. And unlike them, Iran is an established country with significant financial and economic resources and a loyal population.

The Iranians know they can't win conventionally, so they would resort to terrorism and covert ops. There's no way to defend against that without locking down the entire country, which would utterly destroy the US economically. More than it already is, or will be, that is.

And even then, they would find things to blow up or destroy. Disabling power grids, bombing refineries, random acts of terror and chaos. It would be simple enough for Iran to damage America's crumbling infrastructure faster than the US has not only the financial but technical means to rebuild it.

I honestly have no idea how this will play out. One can but hope that the Israelis don't do anything insane because they are too insulated from reality to grasp the consequences of their actions.


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 Post subject: Re: so the debate
PostPosted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 9:19 pm  
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Everyone said the first gulf war would be a quagmire because Iraqis were this awesome, well-equipped, highly disciplined fighting force. They were completely wrecked and pushed out of Kuwait in days. History is full of paper tigers. So long as Iran is being bombed by Israel exclusively and we're not helping, they're better off not pushing our buttons. No one really wants to be on our shit list, because they don't want us fucking around in their country the way we're fucking around in Iraq and Afghanistan.

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 Post subject: Re: so the debate
PostPosted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 9:19 pm  
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Jubbergun wrote:
I doubt we'd have to get involved if Israel did anything to Iran. They've already more than proven they're capable of doling out the harshness with nothing more from us than the military equipment we sell them.


We don't sell them that equipment, we give it away.

Israel gets away with shit because other countries don't strike back on the same terms, and only because of fear of US reprisal. Israel attacked the Osirak reactor and Iraq did nothing. Iraq talked about hurling SCUDs at Israel, Israel threatened retaliation, only held back by the US fighting the Gulf War for them. They won the Six Day War because the US airlifted them supplies, for free. And that was a war against several poor, disorganized Arab countries. Iran is much more powerful, and Israel's level of mobilization is far less now.

Jubbergun wrote:
I don't think a lot of their neighbors would be hellbent on throwing in with Iran for payback, either, and most would probably be relieved if Israel blew the hell out of any potential Iranian weapons programs.


Why? Those weapons programs are no threat to them - on the contrary, a nuclear-armed Iran means the same thing to them that a nuclear-armed US means to Canada and Mexico which is regional security.

Why shouldn't Jordan, Kuwait, the UAE, even the Central Asian former Soviet states, think "maybe we'll be next"? Or that another Iraq in Iran - a power vacuum, a haven for terrorists - would be the worst thing ever for them?

Iran's major neighbors are Russia and India. They are on good terms with both, and we have no real leverage with either. Russia and India don't want a resurgence of Islamic militarism fueled by American aggression. They don't want refugees flooding over their borders or jacked-up fuel costs, whether the result of war or Iran becoming an American puppet state.

They have every reason to actively resist an American invasion. And it's ludicrously ignorant and bigoted to think we're so awesome everyone else is dying to be our friend and our enemy's enemy.

Jubbergun wrote:
The worst that will come of it is France and Germany getting their underoos in a twist, which will probably only happen because they have companies breaking embargoes to sell shit like they did in Iraq prior to the Iraq invasion.


Why should the EU obey our whims? Are we going to just do whatever the EU arbitrarily decides?

You seem to forget that a century ago, we got pulled into WWI because we continued to sell the British weapons, despite the Germans telling us there was an embargo and to cut that shit out.

Funny how the shoe moves to the other foot.

Jubbergun wrote:
On top of that, it's not like you can trust President Obama to avoid getting involved in new conflicts *cough*cough* Libya *cough*cough*.


I won't argue with this.


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 Post subject: Re: so the debate
PostPosted: Fri Oct 12, 2012 11:35 pm  
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So what's the proposal, we let Israel and Iran duke it out without getting involved?

Putting aside for a moment that I think war is stupid, this will end disastrously for Israel. They've never fought a real war, especially not one without massive American/English/French support. Israel has less people than New Jersey. Iran has 80 million, or ten times as many. Iran has an effective missile range of 2.4k km. The last time Iran fought a war against a western-supplied military (Iran-Iraq war) it lasted 8 years and nobody won. Iran has a large landmass, which means it can keep its military bases far away from its population centers. Israel is small enough that a single high-yield warhead will incinerate Tel Aviv and Jerusalem at the same time.

No, if we don't hold Israel's hand, they're gonna lose this one. And they're the ones that want to start it, the belligerent fuckwits.


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 Post subject: Re: so the debate
PostPosted: Sat Oct 13, 2012 12:04 am  
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None of that strategic analysis is really fair.

You can't say Israel didn't fight at least three real wars back in the 1960s; US help or no, these guys know what they're doing, they beat enemies in the field. That said, that Israel was as different from modern Israel as US today is from US during WWII, and the nature of war itself has changed quite a bit.

Iraq is not the US; they don't have the means to strike from the air with impunity. Population doesn't really matter in today's world, what matters is economic and military infrastructure (that said, Iran's per capita yield in those areas is nothing to snuff at). Distance doesn't really matter from a strategic point of view because Americans can see everything from space and hit it no matter where it is. The fact that both Tel Aviv and Jerusalem can be knocked out by a single bomb doesn't really matter because if things get that far, all bets are off.

The question is simply what Israel will do and how whoever is on watch reacts.


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