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 Post subject: Re: I think someone finally got the message:
PostPosted: Tue Jan 18, 2011 5:39 pm  
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Aestu wrote:
$3 a gallon for gas is a bargain compared to most of the civilized world. What's gas going for in the UK or France or Australia? Regulation doesn't even increase the cost of gas; gas prices are driven by the huge profit margins of the distributors.

Any article you can find on the internet about the difference between US and European pump prices is going to have a line similar to this one: In most of the industrialized world, including Europe and Japan, pump prices are much higher than in the U.S. – even though the wholesale price is roughly the same. The difference is a heavy tax load those countries impose to discourage consumption. $3 is not a bargain, especially if you have to look to places where the pump price is artificially high for you "everything's relative" example. Our pump price is inflated for a variety of factors, including taxes, aged infrastructure, and the number of different blends required in various regions, and probably the worst and most politically motivated of all, the ethanol mandate.
Pump price is not driven by "huge profit margins." Even when the media was reporting "record profits" for the oil industry years ago, they were failing to properly stress (or in some cases even mention) that these profits were matched by record consumption, or examine other factors such as the difference between gross/net profit and the financial risk involved with exploration that generally held margins lower. It is also generally accepted that the pump price, especially during recent spikes, has been the result of crude oil prices being driven up by speculators.

Aestu wrote:
What I was getting at, Jubbergun, is that in California, air pollution is a serious problem. CA has air laws far stricter than the rest of the nation because experience proved it necessary. In the past 40 years, CA's population and miles driven in a year have risen dramatically, but thanks to vigilant air quality laws, our air quality is way better than it was. The Bay Area used to have some of the worst pollution in the country; now it's at the bottom of the list. When you talk about "balancing the benefits of modernity", this is how it's done...through regulation to minimize the impact.

Lobbyists don't like CA's regulation because it's an unpleasant reminder that such laws can get things done that corporations won't do on their own. It doesn't kill jobs because ALL cars and ALL gas sold has to meet state standards, not just those manufactured in a particular nation or by a particular company. No one manufacturer or regional supplier has a relative advantage.

The "in California" part is what puts the entire argument out of kilter. I don't know how you get the idea that "as goes California, so goes the country," but that's why I say your focus is myopic. People in Arkansas don't care about what's going on in California, they care about what's going on in Arkansas. This is not a regional matter, it's a national concern. The cost of compliance with California's extreme standards, which end up being the ones that auto's are built to meet because they're the most stringent, end up costing not just California, but everyone else. California isn't "balancing" anything, they're simply passing the cost of their "solutions" on to others.
What sort of mass transit initiatives does CA have? They don't have the same degree of air pollution in NYC because they have an efficient mass transit system...but in Los Angeles, you "have to have a car." WTF kind of shit is that?

Aestu wrote:
Anyone who believes that these laws endanger anyone's way of life has never seen I-80 during rush hour. California's robust clean air laws don't prevent half a million super-commuters from driving further in a day than you probably do in a week. Nor does BART. Meanwhile, the third-world city of Sacramento makes do with its shitty RT system; its unreliability and terrible quality of service drives away business while San Francisco's excellent MUNI system keeps the city livable - and a great place to do business, even though land values and rents in the Bay Area are many times what they are in the Central Valley. It is the quality of life, backed up by regulation and public infrastructure, that keeps that economic motor humming. Sacramento takes the opposite approach, with no infrastructure and only as much regulation as the rest of the state can force down its throat, and the capital of the state is a commercial backwater.


And again, attempting to view the entire country through the prism of California is myopic. I don't care about traffic on I-80 at rush hour; anecdotal evidence is anecdotal. I could just as easily find a microcosm of the country that is the exact opposite of any of the places in California that you're discussing, and make the case that environmental laws are completely unnecessary just as you are suggesting that oppressive regulation is necessary everywhere because it's necessary in one area.

Aestu wrote:
I remember attending the 1996 state fair at Cal Expo and viewing GM's "EV-1", a functional electric car. No, developing it didn't bankrupt the company; they did this to placate the legislature which was trying to pressure them into accepting change (and failed). People loved the EV-1 and GM got a massive backlog of orders. Fearing change, they threw a wet blanket on it, and most orders went unfulfilled.


I remember there being some big problems with the EV1...b r b...

Ah, hit me with a "nice google," folks.

GM was building the EV1 mainly to comply with a California regulation that would require all major manufacturers to offer a "zero emission" vehicle. GM was building the EV1, not because it was profitable, but because they had to in order to continue doing business in California. "While customer reaction to the EV1 was positive, GM believed that electric cars occupied an unprofitable niche of the automobile market as they were only able to lease 800 units in face of production costs of US$1 billion over four years." So what did the California regulations with which this car was being developed to comply accomplish? It forced a company to produce a vehicle that was a financial drain, such a drain that as soon as a court killed those regulations, the vehicle went the way of the dodo.
These are the sort of regulations that serve no purpose other than for politicians to point at them and say "look, I care. I'm getting something done." Making car companies produce cars at a loss just so you can say people have the option does nothing to address whatever problem you're saying you're trying solve...unless the next step is to make those cars profitable by mandating that everyone buy that type of car. That's going to go over like a lead balloon.

Aestu wrote:
This is the thing: Big business is often very stubborn. They often will NOT accept change unless it is forced upon them. Even if that change is in their own long-term best interest. And the interplay of industry's pursuit of the bottom line and the efforts of regulators is what ensures success for America.

I hear bullshit like this and wonder what universe the people saying it live in. Successful business is dynamic, there's nothing 'stubborn' about it. You and/or others believing that something is in the long-term best interest of a business or anyone else doesn't mean that the thing in question actually is. You prove it here. You hype the EV1, which I will assume you believe was in GM's best "long-term interest," yet it was a source of red ink for GM. The company was taking a loss because of "the interplay of the bottom line and regulations." I didn't see a lot of success for anyone there.

Regulation is necessary. Allowing companies to dump crap and spew shit would be a tragedy of the commons that would be a detriment to us all. However, regulation to excess is just as bad as lax or nonexistent regulation. Using regulation to compel or discourage behaviors is as well, and the EV1 reflects the results of that kind of regulation.

Your Pal,
Jubber


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 Post subject: Re: I think someone finally got the message:
PostPosted: Tue Jan 18, 2011 9:02 pm  
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Joined: Thu May 13, 2010 12:19 pm
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Jubbergun wrote:
Aestu wrote:
$3 a gallon for gas is a bargain compared to most of the civilized world. What's gas going for in the UK or France or Australia? Regulation doesn't even increase the cost of gas; gas prices are driven by the huge profit margins of the distributors.

Any article you can find on the internet about the difference between US and European pump prices is going to have a line similar to this one: In most of the industrialized world, including Europe and Japan, pump prices are much higher than in the U.S. – even though the wholesale price is roughly the same. The difference is a heavy tax load those countries impose to discourage consumption. $3 is not a bargain, especially if you have to look to places where the pump price is artificially high for you "everything's relative" example. Our pump price is inflated for a variety of factors, including taxes, aged infrastructure, and the number of different blends required in various regions, and probably the worst and most politically motivated of all, the ethanol mandate.

Pump price is not driven by "huge profit margins." Even when the media was reporting "record profits" for the oil industry years ago, they were failing to properly stress (or in some cases even mention) that these profits were matched by record consumption, or examine other factors such as the difference between gross/net profit and the financial risk involved with exploration that generally held margins lower. It is also generally accepted that the pump price, especially during recent spikes, has been the result of crude oil prices being driven up by speculators.


Consumption didn't go up by 50% during the periods gas prices have spiked. Exploration is long-term so that doesn't explain spikes either. American gas is some of the cheapest in the civilized world.

Jubbergun wrote:
Aestu wrote:
What I was getting at, Jubbergun, is that in California, air pollution is a serious problem. CA has air laws far stricter than the rest of the nation because experience proved it necessary. In the past 40 years, CA's population and miles driven in a year have risen dramatically, but thanks to vigilant air quality laws, our air quality is way better than it was. The Bay Area used to have some of the worst pollution in the country; now it's at the bottom of the list. When you talk about "balancing the benefits of modernity", this is how it's done...through regulation to minimize the impact.

Lobbyists don't like CA's regulation because it's an unpleasant reminder that such laws can get things done that corporations won't do on their own. It doesn't kill jobs because ALL cars and ALL gas sold has to meet state standards, not just those manufactured in a particular nation or by a particular company. No one manufacturer or regional supplier has a relative advantage.

The "in California" part is what puts the entire argument out of kilter. I don't know how you get the idea that "as goes California, so goes the country," but that's why I say your focus is myopic. People in Arkansas don't care about what's going on in California, they care about what's going on in Arkansas. This is not a regional matter, it's a national concern. The cost of compliance with California's extreme standards, which end up being the ones that auto's are built to meet because they're the most stringent, end up costing not just California, but everyone else. California isn't "balancing" anything, they're simply passing the cost of their "solutions" on to others.


No, because no one company has a relative advantage. Everyone has to build cars to meet these specs. The cost is a few hundred bucks per car. Every community in the US benefits from CA regulation, but it doesn't cost any one company or region jobs.

Jubbergun wrote:
What sort of mass transit initiatives does CA have? They don't have the same degree of air pollution in NYC because they have an efficient mass transit system...but in Los Angeles, you "have to have a car." WTF kind of shit is that?


CA has different mass transit systems operating at different levels. The state is well-integrated into the nationwide Amtrak system; BART provides efficient transport within the Bay Area, and local communties have their own citywide transit systems. Air quality, however, is ultimately ensured by these air laws.

Jubbergun wrote:
Aestu wrote:
Anyone who believes that these laws endanger anyone's way of life has never seen I-80 during rush hour. California's robust clean air laws don't prevent half a million super-commuters from driving further in a day than you probably do in a week. Nor does BART. Meanwhile, the third-world city of Sacramento makes do with its shitty RT system; its unreliability and terrible quality of service drives away business while San Francisco's excellent MUNI system keeps the city livable - and a great place to do business, even though land values and rents in the Bay Area are many times what they are in the Central Valley. It is the quality of life, backed up by regulation and public infrastructure, that keeps that economic motor humming. Sacramento takes the opposite approach, with no infrastructure and only as much regulation as the rest of the state can force down its throat, and the capital of the state is a commercial backwater.


And again, attempting to view the entire country through the prism of California is myopic. I don't care about traffic on I-80 at rush hour; anecdotal evidence is anecdotal. I could just as easily find a microcosm of the country that is the exact opposite of any of the places in California that you're discussing, and make the case that environmental laws are completely unnecessary just as you are suggesting that oppressive regulation is necessary everywhere because it's necessary in one area.


Unfortunately, reality doesn't agree with your ideological views.

Jubbergun wrote:
Aestu wrote:
I remember attending the 1996 state fair at Cal Expo and viewing GM's "EV-1", a functional electric car. No, developing it didn't bankrupt the company; they did this to placate the legislature which was trying to pressure them into accepting change (and failed). People loved the EV-1 and GM got a massive backlog of orders. Fearing change, they threw a wet blanket on it, and most orders went unfulfilled.


I remember there being some big problems with the EV1...b r b...

Ah, hit me with a "nice google," folks.

GM was building the EV1 mainly to comply with a California regulation that would require all major manufacturers to offer a "zero emission" vehicle. GM was building the EV1, not because it was profitable, but because they had to in order to continue doing business in California. "While customer reaction to the EV1 was positive, GM believed that electric cars occupied an unprofitable niche of the automobile market as they were only able to lease 800 units in face of production costs of US$1 billion over four years." So what did the California regulations with which this car was being developed to comply accomplish? It forced a company to produce a vehicle that was a financial drain, such a drain that as soon as a court killed those regulations, the vehicle went the way of the dodo.
These are the sort of regulations that serve no purpose other than for politicians to point at them and say "look, I care. I'm getting something done." Making car companies produce cars at a loss just so you can say people have the option does nothing to address whatever problem you're saying you're trying solve...unless the next step is to make those cars profitable by mandating that everyone buy that type of car. That's going to go over like a lead balloon.


Less google more reading what you google.

GM killed the program out of sheer stubbornness. There was market demand and GM said "No".

The program wasn't a cash sink for GM any more than it was for anyone else, because EVERY carmaker had to meet these requirements.

Jubbergun wrote:
Aestu wrote:
This is the thing: Big business is often very stubborn. They often will NOT accept change unless it is forced upon them. Even if that change is in their own long-term best interest. And the interplay of industry's pursuit of the bottom line and the efforts of regulators is what ensures success for America.

I hear bullshit like this and wonder what universe the people saying it live in. Successful business is dynamic, there's nothing 'stubborn' about it. You and/or others believing that something is in the long-term best interest of a business or anyone else doesn't mean that the thing in question actually is. You prove it here. You hype the EV1, which I will assume you believe was in GM's best "long-term interest," yet it was a source of red ink for GM. The company was taking a loss because of "the interplay of the bottom line and regulations." I didn't see a lot of success for anyone there.


If people were rational and theories that sound good on paper because of "dynamism" or "best interest" played out as they should, Communism would work. Capitalism is an ideology just the same and it doesn't work in practice either for the same reason.


Aestu of Bleeding Hollow...

Nihilism is a copout.
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 Post subject: Re: I think someone finally got the message:
PostPosted: Tue Jan 18, 2011 9:20 pm  
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My scientist and philosophical view on the subject:

Capitalism can be used in analogy to be a Darwinist world. Where the big eats the small. Where natural selection picks the winner. A purely capitalistic society would be comparable to the animal kingdom where those things happen. It would be horrible.

We humans have the intellect and reasoning to make a civilization for ourselves that ensures that every single human being is nourished, treated equally and can pursuit happiness. Why not use that intellect?
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 Post subject: Re: I think someone finally got the message:
PostPosted: Tue Jan 18, 2011 10:35 pm  
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Joklem wrote:
My scientist and philosophical view on the subject:

Capitalism can be used in analogy to be a Darwinist world. Where the big eats the small. Where natural selection picks the winner. A purely capitalistic society would be comparable to the animal kingdom where those things happen. It would be horrible.

We humans have the intellect and reasoning to make a civilization for ourselves that ensures that every single human being is nourished, treated equally and can pursuit happiness. Why not use that intellect?


Because intelligence is not the same as wisdom.

EDIT: Your understanding of Darwin is incorrect.


Aestu of Bleeding Hollow...

Nihilism is a copout.
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 Post subject: Re: I think someone finally got the message:
PostPosted: Tue Jan 18, 2011 10:59 pm  
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Aestu wrote:
Consumption didn't go up by 50% during the periods gas prices have spiked.


I don't know how deep into your ass you had to reach to pull out the arbitrary "50%" figure, since that figure wasn't listed in either my post or any relevant linked articles. Consumption rose, and in combination with other factors, listed and unlisted, sent prices higher.

Aestu wrote:
Exploration is long-term so that doesn't explain spikes either.


As pointed out in Chapter 26, Mineral Economics, the amount of capital which has to be invested in the production of oil is very large and it takes a long time, in some cases, many years, before any return can be realized on the investment, if indeed there is a return at all. Many smaller oil companies go bankrupt from a series of dry holes. One such example was a firm which drilled in the geologically rather unpredictable deltaic sedimentary complex in the Denver-Julesburg Basin of Colorado. The first well was a small producer. Subsequently four wells were drilled around the first well. All four were dry holes. The small amount of oil coming from the first well was insufficient to repay the bank loan which had been used to finance the drilling of the other four wells. The company went out of business.

Exploration is extremely expensive and carries a high risk of failure. A peak in unsuccessful exploration by itself would not likely cause those price spikes, but in tandem with other factors shines a light on at least part of the problem.

Aestu wrote:
American gas is some of the cheapest in the civilized world.


In most of the industrialized world, including Europe and Japan, pump prices are much higher than in the U.S. – even though the wholesale price is roughly the same. The difference is a heavy tax load those countries impose to discourage consumption. The gas isn't any cheaper here than it is anywhere else, it's taxed less. L2Read.

Aestu wrote:
No, because no one company has a relative advantage. Everyone has to build cars to meet these specs. The cost is a few hundred bucks per car. Every community in the US benefits from CA regulation, but it doesn't cost any one company or region jobs.

The point was not whether or not those regulations created a competitive advantage for anyone, the point was that California shifts the expense for its policy decisions to the rest of the country by way of its attempts at regulating the auto industry. People in most other parts of the country do not need the added expense of features designed for autos operating in California's stagnant smog basins, yet they end up paying that cost. If you think that having resources diverted to cover the expense of those features isn't economically detrimental to other regions, you're off your nut.

Aestu wrote:
CA has different mass transit systems operating at different levels. The state is well-integrated into the nationwide Amtrak system; BART provides efficient transport within the Bay Area, and local communties have their own citywide transit systems. Air quality, however, is ultimately ensured by these air laws.

So basically, bupkiss, because it's easier for California to shift the cost elsewhere via regulation than to actually clean up their mess.

Aestu wrote:
Unfortunately, reality doesn't agree with your ideological views.

That assertion has no merit given that it's unlikely you've had even a passing acquaintance with reality.

Aestu wrote:
Less google more reading what you google.

GM killed the program out of sheer stubbornness. There was market demand and GM said "No".

The program wasn't a cash sink for GM any more than it was for anyone else, because EVERY carmaker had to meet these requirements.


Not only does it not say anything about "stubbornness" on GM's part, it says that there were allegations and accusations that GM killed the program for no good reason. Allegations and accusations, when the reason was abundantly clear to anyone who can read, which leaves out anyone who misses both how wholesale gas prices internationally are relatively the same in one article, and how "one industry official said that each EV1 cost the company about US$80,000, including research, development and other associated costs," yet they were leasing the cars as part of their test program for an "initial vehicle price of US$33,995." That's a loss of over $40,000 per car. Was there market demand for the EV1? At around $35,000, maybe there was, but who was going to buy/lease one for $80k+? According to GMs market research, or at least their thinking: not enough people to make the platform viable. The only reason the thing was being built in the first place was to satisfy the requirements of a single over-reaching regulation.

Aestu wrote:
If people were rational and theories that sound good on paper because of "dynamism" or "best interest" played out as they should, Communism would work. Capitalism is an ideology just the same and it doesn't work in practice either for the same reason.

No, communism would not work, for the very reason that there is no incentive to put forth any more effort than anyone else when you're getting exactly the same in return as they are. How is taking less for more "rational?" It isn't. It creates animosity among those bound by its edicts...since "the other guy" is never doing his fair share, yet taking the same as all others. Communism always fails.

Capitalism demands the best of every man—his rationality—and rewards him accordingly. It leaves every man free to choose the work he likes, to specialize in it, to trade his product for the products of others, and to go as far on the road of achievement as his ability and ambition will carry him. His success depends on the objective value of his work and on the rationality of those who recognize that value. When men are free to trade, with reason and reality as their only arbiter, when no man may use physical force to extort the consent of another, it is the best product and the best judgment that win in every field of human endeavor, and raise the standard of living—and of thought—ever higher for all those who take part in mankind’s productive activity.--Ayn Rand

When force is exerted, it distorts the market Rand speaks of in this passage. Regulation can be that force when it is wielded for any other reason than that which is proper...when it's used to reward political associates/contributors, when it's used to encourage/discourage behaviors favored by interest groups, when it forces people into transactions they wouldn't otherwise voluntarily engage in. That is when capitalism stops being capitalism...and that is when it fails, and that is why President Obama at least paying lip service to the idea of some sort of happy medium is such a big deal.

Your Pal,
Jubber


AKA "The Gun"
AKA "ROFeraL"

World Renowned Mexican Forklift Artiste
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 Post subject: Re: I think someone finally got the message:
PostPosted: Tue Jan 18, 2011 11:11 pm  
Malodorous Moron
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2011 5:59 pm
Posts: 736
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Aestu wrote:
Joklem wrote:
My scientist and philosophical view on the subject:

Capitalism can be used in analogy to be a Darwinist world. Where the big eats the small. Where natural selection picks the winner. A purely capitalistic society would be comparable to the animal kingdom where those things happen. It would be horrible.

We humans have the intellect and reasoning to make a civilization for ourselves that ensures that every single human being is nourished, treated equally and can pursuit happiness. Why not use that intellect?


Because intelligence is not the same as wisdom.

EDIT: Your understanding of Darwin is incorrect.


Didn't use that term to explain Darwin's view of what the world should be like, which I don't know.

I used the term darwinist to explain a society comparable to how species survive and live on to evolve into a further specie. Natural selection. Capitalism is comparable to that to an extent. The next generation (and previous few) of the current financial elite won't even have to work for their fortune, they are born into wealth. Metaphorically, they have financially evolved to a point where they are born with fortune, the rest either earns it, or eventually dies off.

Much like how a creature that is "born" with vision and the previous is at a disadvantage and dies off.

That being said, it's been observed that communism does not work, and unregulated capitalism does not work either. The ideal would be a point in between, where people still have to earn to gain what they want, but people unable to do so, permanently or temporarily, can get what they need for basic survival. Also a world where the acquisition of one's dreams cannot be completely hindered by financial matters (e.g. try to get a higher education if you're a kid from inner city Detroit).

I don't claim to be an expert on societies, that just how I see it - my opinion.

But of course you'll have a rebuke to the words I use - you're Aestu, the wise man who's in a different plane of wisdom way past humility. The all-knowing pillar of intellect of Humanity.
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 Post subject: Re: I think someone finally got the message:
PostPosted: Tue Jan 18, 2011 11:22 pm  
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Joklem wrote:
But of course you'll have a rebuke to the words I use - you're Aestu, the wise man who's in a different plane of wisdom way past humility. The all-knowing pillar of intellect of Humanity.


Completely offtopic:

I once said to Aestu that he reminded me (at 27) of myself 9 years prior. Even when you think get past humility, you'll find that it has a tendency of catching back up to you. That's why it's wise to reflect.

Back on topic:


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